Emil Guillermo: Who’s on the white horse? Pacquiao or Mayweather? Get a load of these numbers.

 

floydandmanny

Leave it to Promoter Bob Arum to mention how Pacquiao’s letter about Mary Jane Veloso to the Indonesian government had something to do with staying the Filipina’s execution the other day.

Did it?

The Philippine Inquirer reported the stay was due to the emergence of the person who recruited Veloso.

But the idea that Manny can save a life at the 11th hour is part of the superhero narrative that is part of his charismatic charm.

It almost doesn’t matter if it was Pacquiao’s letter that saved Veloso.

When you’ve lived on the streets and have become a champ, you become a legend.

Pacquiao is the Filipino Paul Bunyan. He lives larger than any Filipino.

As Filipinos everywhere, we see the most prized overseas Filipino and we give in to the narrative.

Manny sure mentions God a lot. That may bother more secular Filipinos (there are a few). They  just believe in Manny.

BY THE NUMBERS

This megafight is producing some meganumbers.

I’ll share a few numbers that produce a different kind of ” tale of the tape” in this boxing match. These two boxers aren’t heavyweights.

But they are when they stand on their piles of money.

Pay-per-view: $300 million (3 million purchases @$100)

Estimated splits and payday for fighters:

Floyd Mayweather: 60 percent.

Manny Pacquiao: 40 percent

Payday for Mayweather: In excess of $180 million

Payday for Pacquaio: In excess of $120 million

Per capita income in the Philippines: $2,765 a year

Number of Filipinos forced to work overseas to make a decent wage: 2.4 million people

Amount in back taxes Philippine government wants from Pacquiao: $75 million

Amount in back taxes IRS wants from Pacquaio’s 2006-2010 earning: $18.3 million

Number of convictions for Mayweather on battery and domestic violence since 2001: 5

Jail time served in 2012 in Nevada by Mayweather on a plea deal to avoid felony charges on wife battering: 2 months.

Number of suspensions by Nevada boxing officials to Mayweather: 0

Fight’s economic benefit to Las Vegas, according to Las Vegas Convention Bureau:$150-200 million; 300,000 visitors.

That last graph no doubt is the reason boxing, a state regulated sport, did what it did.  Floyd’s no saint. He’s a money generator.

But  he beats women.

Manny also generates lots of money. He may not be a saint, but if  Arum is to be believed, he may have helped save a woman from her death.

 

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Emil Guillermo: Who broke the stare pose first? Pacquiao? Mayweather? Was that really Round One? Oh, fight already…

n the televised “stare off” in the Mandalay Bay, the two fighters went face-to-face.

pacmay stare 1

Pacquiao always look like he is holding back a grin.  Mayweather looks like a killer.  I see Pacquiao blink a few times during the staredown. Floyd is stone-faced.

But who breaks down the whole pose first?

I see Pacquiao move in. He is always moving, like in his fights. And then Mayweather moves toward Pacquiao.   That’s when Pacquiao breaks off, turns to the cameras and smiles.

pacmay 2

So who broke down first?

I just don’t think it’s as definitive as ESPN commentator Teddy Atlas believes, that Pacquiao  broke down first and lost a “psychological edge.”

But Atlas has his bias toward Mayweather and thinks Floyd’s straight right will come in get the left-handed Pacquiao in the head when the Pacman exposes himself while overreaching  with his straight left.

Possible. But Manny says he’s preparing different strategies for Mayweather, who will have to deal with Pacquiao’s quickness and mobility.

Manny isn’t a straight-up boxer. He creates new angles, comes from out of nowhere.  Mayweather is more stationary, counterpuncher.

He’ll have to move to catch Pacquiao in order to beat him.

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Emil Guillermo: In hashtag war, Filipinos say #PacMay, everyone else says #MayPac, but Pacquiao should win. Ali can’t be wrong. Justin Beiber can.

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Yes, that’s me and Pacquiao walking at the suites level at AT&T Park last Fall.  He’s not a great interview. But he likes to pray. And he likes to beat people up. We had just beaten up the cameraman here. (Wait a minute, this is a selfie…)

I’m taller than he is.

I still think he’s going to beat Mayweather.

Here are some Pacquiao quotes on the big fight (from fan rally at Mandalay Bay in Las Vegas, from Inquirer.net),

On being the underdog:

“My confidence right now is different than the other fights I had,” said Pacquiao. “I’m very excited. This is it. I had to prove something.”

“This is it. I like that (underdog),” said Pacquiao. “My killer instinct is back.”

On Strategy:

“We’re not depending on one strategy. We have two, three,” said Pacquiao.

“If he wants to fight, or if he wants to run in the ring,” I’m ready,” said Pacquiao, later changing the word ”run” to ”move,” grinning.

On Mayweather’s win streak against 47 fighters:

“I’m different from those 47. I’m faster, more confident for the fight. I believe he will lose.”

Pacquiao said Mayweather isn’t even the toughest fighter he’s faced, saying Oscar DelaHoya, Miguel Cotto and Juan Manuel Marquez were tougher.

I’ve seen just about every Manny fight. And the last two Mayweather fights.

In boxing terms, both are aging warriors and will have to rely on guile.  But Mayweather’s 38.  Pacman is 36. This isn’t a senior citizens affair.

Manny is slightly younger and has dealt with taller more aggressive boxers.

I think Pacquaio will have to knock him out to prevent an injustice like Bradley 1.

If it goes the distance,  Mayweather will win, thus setting up a re-match.

Money talks.

To win, Manny will have to do an Algieri performance-plus:  Knock him down and keep him down for the count. He won’t get six knockdowns. But he might get one good pop that rocks Mayweather.

Pacquiao  might have done it easily five years ago.

Now? It will be close.

 

 

Emil Guillermo: Bruce Jenner? My experience with a trans woman taught me why we must stand with all LGBTQ.

My friend Kenna Fisher is a librarian.

But she is also a man transitioning into a woman.

kennaindress

And her story is every bit  the equal of Jenner’s, but without Kim, Khloe, Kris, or Olympic medal.

Google her,  you’ll see.

Kenna and I are in a solo performance workshop group at the Marsh and had coffee afterwards  one day.

Read my column here.

It taught me why it’s important to stand with the LGBTQ.

Literally stand next to a friend some time.

You’ll see enough ignorance and hate drawn to you to last  a lifetime.

You can hear Kenna’s story  here.

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